Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 10.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.89%) and 3-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
2.28) 
-1.04) 
