Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 19

Sep 16, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
2 - 0
Arsenal

Sosa (49'), Colazo (54')
Sosa (50')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pitton (28'), Rivero (40'), Diaz (45+3'), Miloc (62')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Arsenal Sarandi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 53.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.

Result
Gimnasia	Draw	Arsenal Sarandi
53.12% ( 0.04)	26.06% ( 0.54)	20.81% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 44.14% (

-2.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.6% (

-2.43)

58.4% (

2.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21% (

-1.94)

79% (

1.94)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.89% (

-0.98)

22.11% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.53% (

-1.51)

55.47% (

1.51)

Arsenal Sarandi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.67% (

-2.01)

43.33% (

2.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.43% (

-1.73)

79.57% (

1.73)

Score Analysis

Gimnasia 53.11%

Arsenal Sarandi 20.81%

Draw 26.06%

Gimnasia	Draw	Arsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 14.45% ( 0.88) 2-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.82% Total : 53.11%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.85) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.58% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.81%