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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Aug 21, 2022 at 5pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus

Lanus
1 - 0
Arsenal

Perez (90+5')
Perez (40'), Aguilar (72'), Perez (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Chimino (76')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Arsenal Sarandi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

Last Six:
Last Game: Newell's OB 2-0 Lanus
Wednesday, August 17 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Arsenal Sarandi

Last Six:
Last Game: Arsenal 0-0 River Plate
Wednesday, August 17 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 21.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lanus in this match.

Result
LanusDrawArsenal Sarandi
51.72% (0.17 0.17) 26.47% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 21.81% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 44.29% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.15% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)58.86% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.64% (-0.067 -0.07)79.36% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.1% (0.037999999999997 0.04)22.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (0.058 0.06)56.66% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.45% (-0.213 -0.21)42.55% (0.211 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.09% (-0.182 -0.18)78.91% (0.181 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 51.71%
    Arsenal Sarandi 21.81%
    Draw 26.47%
LanusDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 14.36% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.58% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.2% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 51.71%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.75% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 8.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.24% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 21.81%

Head to Head
Mar 7, 2022 10.15pm
Arsenal
2-2
Lanus
Brochero (32'), Kruspzky (56')
Goni (60'), Brochero (68'), Perez (75')
Manuel Lopez (10'), Aguirre (20')
Morales (35'), Perez (42'), Perez (64'), Bernabei (81')
Sep 25, 2021 7.45pm
Arsenal
1-0
Lanus
Sepulveda (49')
Sepulveda (8'), Navas (77'), Goni (83'), Mazzola (90+4')

Aguirre (31'), Bernabei (80'), Perez (83')
Dec 2, 2019 10pm
Arsenal
1-1
Lanus
Gimenez (58')
Cruz Kaprof (86')
De La Vega (81')
Valenti (11'), Bernabei (86')
rhs 2.0
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