Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Mar 31, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Gimnasia2 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Deportivo Riestra.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Gimnasia
Sunday, March 17 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, March 17 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 1-0 Independiente
Friday, March 15 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, March 15 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.
Result | ||
Gimnasia | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
51.52% ( -0.1) | 27.38% ( 0.01) | 21.1% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 41.21% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.59% ( 0.04) | 62.41% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.96% ( 0.03) | 82.04% ( -0.03) |
Gimnasia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.45% ( -0.03) | 24.55% ( 0.03) |