Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11

Mar 17, 2024 at 9.30pm UK

Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
3 - 1
Gimnasia

Echeverri (29'), Gonzalez Pirez (70'), Colidio (86')
Simon (54')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dominguez (11')
Rodriguez (18'), Pintado (34'), Castro (56'), Ramirez (87'), Ramirez (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Gimnasia.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions

Last Game: Independiente 1-1 River Plate
Saturday, March 9 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gimnasia

All competitions

Last Game: Gimnasia 2-0 Barracas Central
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 70.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 10.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.86%) and 3-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Gimnasia
70.82% ( -0.93)	18.89% ( 0.61)	10.29% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 41.09% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.65% (

-1.64)

49.35% (

1.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.61% (

-1.49)

71.39% (

1.49)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.31% (

-0.74)

12.69% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.12% (

-1.55)

38.88% (

1.55)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.07% (

-0.39)

52.93% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.39% (

-0.25)

86.61% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

River Plate 70.81%

Gimnasia 10.29%

Draw 18.89%

River Plate	Draw	Gimnasia
2-0 @ 14.31% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 13.86% ( 0.53) 3-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.2) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.65% Total : 70.81%	1-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.46% Total : 18.89%	0-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.85% Total : 10.29%