MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:23:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Jul 21, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

Lanus
2 - 2
Velez Sarsfield

Acosta (54'), Tomas Ortellado (74')
Loaiza (36'), Acosta (64'), Gonzalez (68')
Sanabria (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Perrone (39'), Jara (70')
Perrone (21'), Ortega (59'), Osorio (73'), Gomez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-1 Lanus
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-2 River Plate
Monday, July 18 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Lanus 1-2 Velez Sarsfield

Lanus and Velez have failed to hit their stride in the new campaign and will both head into Wednesday seeking a morale-boosting victory. Lanus have lost six of their last seven games in all competitions and we are backing the visitors to heap their misery by coming out victorious, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
LanusDrawVelez Sarsfield
39.52% (-0.584 -0.58) 27.83% (0.159 0.16) 32.65% (0.425 0.43)
Both teams to score 47.9% (-0.358 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.06% (-0.5 -0.5)57.94% (0.5 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.36% (-0.395 -0.4)78.64% (0.395 0.39)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41% (-0.57199999999999 -0.57)28.59% (0.572 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.61% (-0.719 -0.72)64.39% (0.719 0.72)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (0.036999999999992 0.04)32.92% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (0.041 0.04)69.49% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 39.52%
    Velez Sarsfield 32.64%
    Draw 27.82%
LanusDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 39.52%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.41% (0.178 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.82%
0-1 @ 10.45% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.81% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 32.64%

How you voted: Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield

Lanus
16.7%
Draw
33.3%
Velez Sarsfield
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 8.30pm
Velez Sarsfield
3-1
Lanus
Janson (44', 51'), Pratto (90+3')
Pasquini (11')
Malcorra (6'), Belmonte (26')
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
Velez Sarsfield
5-1
Lanus
Bouzat (14'), Almada (52'), Caseres (62'), Ortega (77'), Centurion (83')
Hoyos (27'), Caseres (45+1'), Mancuello (45+3'), Martinez (89')
Belmonte (76')
Morel (51'), Thaller (60'), Esquivel (63'), Aguirre (80')
Apr 25, 2021 3pm
Lanus
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
Bernabei (49')
Mancuello (76'), De los Santos (89')
Perez (15'), Nicolas Mulet (48'), Perez (65'), Sand (69')
Jan 14, 2021 12.30am
Lanus
3-0
Velez Sarsfield
Belmonte (45+3'), Orsini (60'), Bernabei (88')
Acosta (24'), Quignon (46'), B (51')

Mancuello (31'), De La Fuente (70'), Martin Lucero (82')
Tarragona (44')
Jan 7, 2021 12.30am
Velez Sarsfield
0-1
Lanus

Ortega (61'), Mancuello (84'), Galdames (90+1')
Sand (39')
Acosta (3'), Morales (26'), De la Vega (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9Platense238961816233
10Instituto239592925432
11Deportivo Riestra238872424032
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
13IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
14BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
22Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916


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