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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Jun 22, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna

Tigre
2 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Molinas (62'), Brizuela (88' og.)
Blondel (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cabrera (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Tigre and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigre

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Platense 1-0 Tigre
Saturday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 17 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Tigre 1-0 Velez Sarsfield

 Both sides are bereft of confidence following their respective winless runs in the Primera Division, but with a new coach at the helm, we think that Tigre could be rejuvenated, and as a result, we believe they will go on to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.

Result
TigreDrawVelez Sarsfield
46.47% (2.085 2.09) 27.58% (-1.264 -1.26) 25.95% (-0.826 -0.83)
Both teams to score 45.28% (2.673 2.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.36% (3.669 3.67)59.63% (-3.674 -3.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.04% (2.728 2.73)79.96% (-2.732 -2.73)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (2.799 2.8)25.7% (-2.802 -2.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (3.656 3.66)60.61% (-3.66 -3.66)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.94% (1.349 1.35)39.05% (-1.353 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.22% (1.247 1.25)75.77% (-1.251 -1.25)
Score Analysis
    Tigre 46.46%
    Velez Sarsfield 25.95%
    Draw 27.57%
TigreDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 13.63% (-0.82 -0.82)
2-0 @ 9.27% (0.192 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.489 0.49)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.399 0.4)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.505 0.51)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.296 0.3)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.233 0.23)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.26 0.26)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 46.46%
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 10.03% (-1.48 -1.48)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.37 0.37)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 9.44% (-0.994 -0.99)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.292 -0.29)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.158 0.16)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 25.95%

How you voted: Tigre vs Velez Sarsfield

Tigre
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Velez Sarsfield
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 20
Tigre
2-0
Velez Sarsfield
Armoa (6'), Colidio (22')
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Velez Sarsfield
3-2
Tigre
Florentin (26'), Janson (33' pen.), Fernandez (40')
Janson (19'), Ortega (50'), Sosa (90+8')
Obando (23'), Prieto (87')
Cabrera (63'), Prieto (80')
Mar 4, 2019 10.20pm
Gameweek 21
Velez Sarsfield
1-2
Tigre
Abram (42')
Gianetti (71'), Gimenez (88')
Gonzalez (51', 78')
Prediger (21'), Galmarini (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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