Tigre2 - 1Puerto Cabello
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, June 3 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, May 24 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
We said: Tigre 4-0 Academia Puerto Cabello
Tigre have a chance of earning their place in the knockout stages of the competition in this one and should be confident of beating a visiting side who have not managed to collect a point yet. Puerto Cabello will be in damage limitation mode as they look to put this Sudamericana campaign behind them as quickly as possible - it promises to be a difficult evening in Argentina. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Academia Puerto Cabello |
55.14% ( 0.15) | 24.66% ( 0.05) | 20.2% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 47.08% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
