Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
May 13, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de América
Independiente2 - 1Tigre
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Tigre.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-2 Independiente
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Tigre 2-2 Newell's OB
Monday, May 8 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, May 8 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Independiente win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Independiente | Draw | Tigre |
32.22% ( 0.02) | 28.71% ( 0.02) | 39.06% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 45.28% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.85% ( -0.08) | 61.15% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.89% ( -0.06) | 81.1% ( 0.06) |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.09% ( -0.03) | 34.9% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.35% ( -0.03) | 71.64% ( 0.03) |
Tigre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.56% ( -0.06) | 30.44% ( 0.07) |