Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Group Stage

Jan 25, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Yuanshen Sports Centre Stadium

Jordan
0 - 1
Bahrain

Al Ajalin (56'), Olwan (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Yusuf (34')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Asian Cup clash between Jordan and Bahrain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jordan

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Jordan 2-2 South Korea
Saturday, January 20 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jordan	2	4	4
2	South Korea	2	2	4
3	Bahrain	2	-1	3
4	Malaysia	2	-5	0

Bahrain

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Bahrain 1-0 Malaysia
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jordan	2	4	4
2	South Korea	2	2	4
3	Bahrain	2	-1	3
4	Malaysia	2	-5	0

We said: Jordan 1-1 Bahrain

There is little to choose between these evenly matched sides, and this matchup could go either way, though we do not expect either team to find a decisive breakthrough on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jordan win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jordan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Jordan	Draw	Bahrain
39.46% ( 0.82)	25.75% ( -0.1)	34.77% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 54.89% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.74% (

0.33)

49.25% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.68% (

0.29)

71.31% (

-0.3)

Jordan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.41% (

0.59)

24.58% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.92% (

0.82)

59.07% (

-0.83)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.78% (

-0.28)

27.21% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.36% (

-0.37)

62.63% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Jordan 39.46%

Bahrain 34.77%

Draw 25.75%

Jordan	Draw	Bahrain
1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.46%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.77%