Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Group Stage

Jan 15, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium

South Korea
3 - 1
Bahrain

In-beom (38'), Kang-in (56', 68')
Yong-woo (9'), Min-jae (13'), Ki-je (28'), Kyu-Sung (61'), Heung-min (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Al-Hashash (51')
Madan (31'), Atede (45')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Asian Cup clash between South Korea and Bahrain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions

Last Game: Iraq 0-1 South Korea
Saturday, January 6 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	South Korea	0	0	0
2	Jordan	0	0	0
3	Malaysia	0	0	0
4	Bahrain	0	0	0

Bahrain

All competitions

Last Game: Bahrain 0-3 Angola
Wednesday, January 10 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	South Korea	0	0	0
2	Jordan	0	0	0
3	Malaysia	0	0	0
4	Bahrain	0	0	0

We said: South Korea 3-0 Bahrain

There is a huge gulf in class between the teams, and South Korea are huge favourites to secure maximum points here. We fully fancy them to cruise to all three points in what should be a largely one-sided affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bahrain had a probability of 16.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Bahrain win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result
South Korea	Draw	Bahrain
60.13% ( 0.06)	23.15% ( -0.04)	16.71% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 45.52% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.01% (

0.11)

52.99% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.41% (

0.09)

74.58% (

-0.09)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.72% (

0.06)

17.28% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.38% (

0.1)

47.62% (

-0.1)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.03% (

0.04)

44.97% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.09% (

0.04)

80.91% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

South Korea 60.12%

Bahrain 16.71%

Draw 23.15%

South Korea	Draw	Bahrain
1-0 @ 13.64% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 60.12%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.15%	0-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.36% 0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.48% Total : 16.71%