Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Group Stage

Jan 20, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Al Thumama Stadium

Jordan
2 - 2
South Korea

Yong-woo (37' og.), Al-Naimat (45+6')
Haddad (8'), Al Tamari (18'), Al-Arab (29')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Heung-min (9' pen.), Al-Arab (90+1' og.)
In-beom (28'), Oh (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Asian Cup clash between Jordan and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jordan

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Malaysia 0-4 Jordan
Monday, January 15 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jordan	1	4	3
2	South Korea	1	2	3
3	Bahrain	1	-2	0
4	Malaysia	1	-4	0

South Korea

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: South Korea 3-1 Bahrain
Monday, January 15 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jordan	1	4	3
2	South Korea	1	2	3
3	Bahrain	1	-2	0
4	Malaysia	1	-4	0

We said: Jordan 0-2 South Korea

Jordan have never beaten South Korea in five previous meetings, failing to score on four occasions, and given their injury concerns we expect them to have difficulty creating many chances on Saturday. We believe the difficult opening match for the South Koreans will serve as a wake-up call for a group of players desperate to get their country back on top of the Asian podium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Jordan win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Jordan	Draw	South Korea
28.23% ( 0.03)	26.36% ( -0)	45.41% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 50.32% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.06% (

0.02)

53.94% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.61% (

0.02)

75.39% (

-0.02)

Jordan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.93% (

0.03)

34.06% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.25% (

0.03)

70.75% (

-0.03)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.31% (

-0)

23.69% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.2% (

-0)

57.8% (

Score Analysis

Jordan 28.23%

South Korea 45.41%

Draw 26.35%

Jordan	Draw	South Korea
1-0 @ 8.69% 2-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 28.23%	1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 45.41%