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Alaves logo
La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 9, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
Athletic Bilbao logo

Alaves
0 - 0
Athletic Bilbao


Lejeune (26'), Duarte (61')
FT

Preview: Alaves vs. Athletic Bilbao - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Athletic Bilbao will be looking to make it three straight wins in all competitions when they continue their La Liga campaign away to Alaves on Sunday evening.

The visitors are currently 10th in the table, boasting 27 points from their opening 20 matches of the 2021-22 season, while struggling Alaves sit 18th, level on points with 17th-placed Elche.


Match preview

Alaves coach Javier Calleja reacts on September 25, 2021© Reuters

Alaves have been present in Spain's top flight since 2016, finishing ninth, 14th, 11th, 16th and 16th in their last five campaigns, but it appears that they are firmly in a relegation fight this season.

Indeed, the Basque outfit have only picked up 16 points from their opening 19 matches of the season, which has left them in 18th spot in the table, level on points with 17th-placed Elche.

Alaves will still believe that they have enough quality to move clear of the relegation zone, but they are worryingly without a victory in their last seven league matches, suffering four defeats in the process.

Jose Luis Mendilibar's side suffered back-to-back defeats to Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal before the winter break but managed to pick up a point at home to Real Sociedad in their last match on January 2.

El Glorioso have also been victorious in their last two home La Liga games against Athletic, including a 1-0 success in the corresponding fixture during the 2020-21 campaign.

Athletic Bilbao coach Marcelino talks to teammates at the bench on September 18, 2021© Reuters

Athletic, meanwhile, will enter Sunday's contest off the back of a 2-0 victory over Mancha Real in the Copa del Rey on Thursday, which saw them progress to the last-16 stage of the competition.

The Basque side were also victorious in the league last weekend, overcoming Osasuna 3-1, with Oihan Sancet scoring three times at Estadio El Sadar in a brilliant performance.

A record of six wins, nine draws and five defeats from 20 matches has seen Athletic collect 27 points, which has left them in 10th position in the table, three points behind sixth-placed Rayo Vallecano.

Marcelino's side, who have won three of their last four matches in all competitions, finished 10th in Spain's top flight last season but are certainly capable of pushing towards the European spots this term.

The Lions are due to face Atletico Madrid in the semi-finals of the Spanish Super Cup next week before resuming their La Liga campaign away to high-flying Rayo Vallecano on January 23.

Alaves La Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D

Alaves form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D

Athletic Bilbao La Liga form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Athletic Bilbao form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W



Team News

Athletic Bilbao players celebrate scoring against Barcelona on August 21, 2021© Reuters

Alaves will again be without the services of Ximo Navarro due to a knee injury, while Pere Pons is also a slight doubt, but the home side are otherwise in good shape when it comes to availability.

Tomas Pina and Fernando Pacheco should return, having recently been absent through coronavirus, with the pair pushing to be a part of the starting XI on Sunday.

Joselu was on the scoresheet against Real Sociedad last weekend and will again lead the line, while Toni Moya and Luis Rioja should also keep their spots in the starting side.

As for Athletic, Yuri Berchiche remains on the sidelines through injury, while Asier Villalibre and Ander Capa are doubts for the visitors here.

Sancet scored three times against Osasuna last time out in the league and will again feature in the final third of the field alongside Inaki Williams.

Nico Williams is also in contention, having scored twice against Mancha Real in the Copa del Rey on Thursday, but Alex Berenguer and Iker Muniain are likely to be given the nod in the wide areas for Athletic.

Alaves possible starting lineup:
Pacheco; Aguirregabiria, Laguardia, Lejeune, Duarte; Moya, Pina; Mendez, Pons, Rioja; Joselu

Athletic Bilbao possible starting lineup:
Simon; De Marcos, Alvarez, Martinez, Balenziaga; Berenguer, Vencedor, D Garcia, Muniain; Sancet, I Williams


SM words green background

We say: Alaves 1-2 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic's recent form has been impressive, and they beat Alaves 1-0 in the reverse match at San Mames earlier this season. We are expecting this to be a tight fixture, as Athletic have only won twice on their travels in the league this season, but the visitors should have enough quality to secure all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao

Alaves
22.1%
Draw
16.2%
Athletic Bilbao
61.8%
68
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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