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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 9, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
Athletic Bilbao logo

Alaves
0 - 0
Athletic Bilbao


Lejeune (26'), Duarte (61')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Alaves 1-2 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic's recent form has been impressive, and they beat Alaves 1-0 in the reverse match at San Mames earlier this season. We are expecting this to be a tight fixture, as Athletic have only won twice on their travels in the league this season, but the visitors should have enough quality to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
AlavesDrawAthletic Bilbao
24.06%27.65%48.28%
Both teams to score 43.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.96%61.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.98%81.02%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.42%41.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.93%78.06%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55%25.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72%60.28%
Score Analysis
    Alaves 24.06%
    Athletic Bilbao 48.27%
    Draw 27.65%
AlavesDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.29%
2-1 @ 5.58%
2-0 @ 4.08%
3-1 @ 1.63%
3-0 @ 1.19%
3-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 24.06%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 14.47%
0-2 @ 9.91%
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-3 @ 4.52%
1-3 @ 3.97%
2-3 @ 1.74%
0-4 @ 1.55%
1-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 48.27%

How you voted: Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao

Alaves
22.1%
Draw
16.2%
Athletic Bilbao
61.8%
68
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Alaves
Garcia (44')
Vencedor (38'), Berenguer (40'), Garcia (73')

Navarro (8'), Pina (84')
Apr 10, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 30
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Alaves
Vesga (2'), Capa (90+1')
Lejeune (46'), Garcia (90+2')
Oct 4, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 5
Alaves
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Ely (74')
Duarte (85')
Duarte (86')

Garcia (19'), Nunez (62'), Martinez (64')
Feb 23, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 25
Alaves
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Perez (28' pen.), Ely (90')
Navarro (31'), Aguirregabiria (33'), Ely (52'), Pons (86')
Garcia (17')
Capa (20'), Nunez (26'), Garcia (31'), Martinez (31')
Sep 22, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Alaves
Garcia (38' pen.), Muniain (72')
Simon (86')

Ely (7'), Vidal (15'), Duarte (37'), Laguardia (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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