BATE

1 - 0

Smorgon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 87%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 3.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.24%) and 4-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.45%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.