Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 53.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Isloch would win this match.