Neman

3 - 1

Smorgon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 16.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.