Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Isloch would win this match.