Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Vitebsk had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Vitebsk win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.