Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Slutsk win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Neman in this match.