Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Isloch had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Isloch win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.