Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Dynamo Brest had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Dynamo Brest win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.