Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitebsk in this match.