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Belenenses
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 13, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Restelo
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Belenenses
1 - 0
Guimaraes

Safira (50')
Carraca (34'), Felipe (80'), Lukovic (83'), Nuno (88'), Akas (90'), Sousa (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Borevkovic (9'), Handel (20'), Luz (90+3'), Quaresma (90+3')

Preview: Belenenses vs. Vitoria de Guimaraes - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fresh off the back of an impressive victory over fourth-placed Braga, Vitoria de Guimaraes take a trip to the Estadio Nacional do Jamor to face Belenenses on Sunday.

O Belem, on the other hand, head into the game without a win in any of their last five Primeira Liga outings and will head into the weekend desperate to end this dry spell.


Match preview

A general shot of Vitoria de Guimaraes vs. Sporting Lisbon in June 2020© Reuters

Belenenses were left empty-handed in the Primeira Liga once again as they suffered a humbling 4-1 loss at the hands of Moreirense at the Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas.

In a game where Alioune Ndour received his marching orders, Yan Santos and Abel Camara scored for either side in the opening 25 minutes, but the hosts upped the ante as Pablo Santos, Andre Luis and Derik Lacerda scored to cap off a superb team performance.

Franclim Carvalho's side have now failed to taste victory in each of their last four games, losing four and picking up one draw since a 2-1 victory over fellow strugglers Arouca on January 9.

With 12 points from 21 games, Belenenses are currently rooted to the bottom of the Primeira Liga standings, seven points adrift of Moreirense just outside the relegation places.

Their struggles this season has been in no small part owing to their lack of sting in attack, where they boast the division's poorest record with just 13 goals scored, with their luck at the opposite end of the pitch not any better as they have shipped 41 so far.

Belenenses' Miguel Cardoso celebrates scoring their first goal with Afonso Gamelas in December 2020© Reuters

Vitoria de Guimaraes, meanwhile, turned in a performance of the highest quality as they claimed a hard-earned 2-1 victory when the sides met at the Dom Afonso Henriques last time out.

Despite playing with one man down for most of the second half after Alfa Semedo received his marching orders in the 54th minute, Oscar Estupinan and Nelson Luz scored either side of Vitor Oliveira to hand the hosts all three points.

Pedro Gandaio's side are now unbeaten in each of their last six games on home turf, claiming five wins and one draw, while scoring 15 goals and conceding seven since a 3-1 loss against Benfica back in October.

While they have struggled to match this form on the road, where they have failed to win any of their last four games, this fine home run has seen them rise to sixth place on the log after picking up 30 points from 21 games.

While Vitoria de Guimaraes will look to end this poor away form, next up is an opposing side who they have failed to defeat at the Estadio Nacional do Jamor in each of their last six visits since a 3-0 win back in 2014.

Belenenses Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L

Vitoria de Guimaraes Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W


Team News

A general shot of Marcus Edwards celebrating with teammates for Vitoria de Guimaraes in June 2020© Reuters

While Jordan van der Gaag returned from his injury lay-off against Moreirense last time out, Chico Teixeira remains out of contention for Belenenses as he continues his journey to full fitness after picking up an injury back in September.

He is joined on the club's injury table by fellow countryman Rafael Camacho, who has been out of action since sustaining a muscle injury against Estoril Praia on December 12.

Twenty-year-old forward Ndour will also sit out Sunday's game as he serves his suspension after picking up a straight red in the game against Os verdes e branco, meaning Safira could take his place in the XI.

Vitoria de Guimaraes, on the other hand, head into the weekend with a clean bill of health, giving Petit the luxury of a full strength squad at his disposal once again.

With his strike against Braga last time out, Estupinan is now one goal away from hitting double digits in the league this season and we expect the 25-year-old to spearhead the attack alongside Rochinha and Tiago Silva.

However, midfielder Semedo received his marching orders in the aforementioned game and Andre Almeida could come into the fold for his 11th start of the season.

Belenenses possible starting lineup:
Felipe; Akas, Danny, Carraca, Tavares; Calila, Phete, Camara; Safira, Lukovic, Sousa

Vitoria de Guimaraes possible starting lineup:
Varela; Soares, Fernandes, Borevkovic, Maga; Lameiras, Handel, Almeida; Rochinha, Silva, Estupinan


SM words green background

We say: Belenenses 0-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Vitoria de Guimaraes will head into the weekend with renewed confidence following their impressive win over Braga and will fancy their chances against a floundering Belenenses side. Belenenses have struggled to get going at the back and we predict the visitors will take advantage of their defensive frailties and come away with all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 62.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.23%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Belenenses vs Guimaraes

Belenenses
0.0%
Draw
37.5%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
62.5%
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Group A

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Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

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Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

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Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

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Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

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4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

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Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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