Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 17.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Cercle Brugge win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.