Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Gent had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Gent win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.