Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 8

Sep 11, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Stade Joseph Mariën

Union SG
1 - 2
Genk

Lapoussin (74')
Teuma (52'), Kandouss (56'), Van der Heyden (83'), Burgess (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Paintsil (15'), Samatta (90+2')
Onuachu (46'), Munoz (81'), Galarza (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Genk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
Union SG	Draw	Genk
29.58% ( 1.09)	25.7% ( 0.5)	44.72% ( -1.58)

Both teams to score 53.15% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.35% (

-1.5)

50.65% (

1.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.45% (

-1.34)

72.55% (

1.35)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.66% (

0.03)

31.34% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.3% (

0.03)

67.7% (

-0.02)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.41% (

-1.35)

22.59% (

1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.8% (

-2.05)

56.2% (

2.06)

Score Analysis

Union SG 29.58%

Genk 44.72%

Draw 25.7%

Union SG	Draw	Genk
1-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.58%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.17% Total : 44.72%