Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 61.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 16.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Criciuma
61.37% ( 0.8)	22.19% ( -0.28)	16.43% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 47.73% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.29% (

0.3)

49.7% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.28% (

0.27)

71.71% (

-0.27)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.29% (

0.37)

15.71% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.21% (

0.68)

44.79% (

-0.68)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.62% (

-0.48)

43.37% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.39% (

-0.41)

79.6% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 61.37%

Criciuma 16.43%

Draw 22.19%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Criciuma
1-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.07% Total : 61.37%	1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.19%	0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.43%