Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 49.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 22.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Caracas win it was 1-0 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Caracas	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
22.94% ( -0.08)	27.4% ( -0.05)	49.66% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 43.13% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.98% (

0.1)

61.02% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.99% (

0.07)

81.01% (

-0.07)

Caracas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.34% (

-0.02)

42.66% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21% (

-0.02)

79% (

0.02)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.21% (

0.1)

24.79% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.64% (

0.14)

59.36% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Caracas 22.94%

Atletico Mineiro 49.64%

Draw 27.4%

Caracas	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.07% Total : 22.94%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.4%	0-1 @ 14.74% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.28% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 49.64%