Brasileiro | Gameweek 11

Jun 13, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Botafogo
0 - 1
Avai

Lopes (18'), Goncalves Ferreira Neto (53'), Del Piage de Souza (73'), Erison (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kevin (45+1')
Eduardo (27'), Raniele (68'), Silva (75'), Galdezani (82'), Vladimir (83')
Silva (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Avai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

These teams are virtually level pegging at this point of the season, having conceded the same amount of goals (15), while Fogo have scored 12 times, which is only one more than Avai. They both tend to hang back deep in their end, waiting for an opportunity to strike, and given how timid they are, we anticipate this contest will be a standstill with a pair of sides relatively low on confidence right now. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Avai had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Avai
60.98% ( 2.2)	22.91% ( -0.93)	16.11% ( -1.27)

Both teams to score 45% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.98% (

1.59)

53.02% (

-1.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.39% (

1.34)

74.61% (

-1.34)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83% (

1.37)

17% (

-1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.88% (

2.38)

47.12% (

-2.37)

Avai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.21% (

-0.68)

45.79% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.45% (

-0.54)

81.56% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 60.98%

Avai 16.11%

Draw 22.91%

Botafogo	Draw	Avai
1-0 @ 13.79% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.29) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.35) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.56% Total : 60.98%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.5) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.63% Total : 22.91%	0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.38% Total : 16.11%