MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 18:10:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 8
May 29, 2022 at 11pm UK
Mineirão
Avai

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Avai

Hulk (53'), Sasha (66')
Hulk (45+6'), Everson (54'), Jair (60'), Mariano (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morato (41')
Raniele (43'), Eduardo (70')
Friedrich (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Avai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Atletico Mineiro vs. Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 2-1 Avai
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Botafogo vs. Avai
Monday, June 13 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Avai

Mineiro have been in strong form in the league so far, and Avai have not been so effective away from home, making Sunday's hosts strong favourites for this one. Having lost their last two matches, Avai may be starting a poor run of form in the top flight after just achieving promotion, and coming up against the reigning champions seems like an unwinnable task. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 70.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Avai had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.69%) and 3-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawAvai
70.1% (-2.324 -2.32) 19.15% (1.36 1.36) 10.75% (0.965 0.97)
Both teams to score 41.89% (-0.764 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.81% (-3.06 -3.06)49.19% (3.062 3.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.75% (-2.825 -2.83)71.26% (2.826 2.83)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (-1.529 -1.53)12.85% (1.529 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.79% (-3.232 -3.23)39.22% (3.234 3.23)
Avai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.06% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)51.94% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.04% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)85.97% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 70.1%
    Avai 10.75%
    Draw 19.15%
Atletico MineiroDrawAvai
2-0 @ 14.05% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 13.69% (0.89 0.89)
3-0 @ 9.61% (-0.511 -0.51)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.345 -0.35)
4-0 @ 4.93% (-0.586 -0.59)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.387 -0.39)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-0 @ 2.02% (-0.38 -0.38)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 70.1%
1-1 @ 8.97% (0.577 0.58)
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.798 0.8)
2-2 @ 3.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 19.15%
0-1 @ 4.37% (0.519 0.52)
1-2 @ 2.94% (0.186 0.19)
0-2 @ 1.43% (0.169 0.17)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 10.75%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Avai

Atletico Mineiro
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Avai
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2019 12am
Avai
1-0
Atletico Mineiro
Jonathan (27')
Leo (35'), Lourenco (68'), Thalheimer (95')

Silva (33')
Apr 27, 2019 11pm
Atletico Mineiro
2-1
Avai
Santos (45' pen.), Oliveira (53')
Brizuela (46')
Betao (96')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo28176546252157
2PalmeirasPalmeiras28175646202656
3FortalezaFortaleza27157536261052
4FlamengoFlamengo26136742321045
5Sao Paulo2713593529644
6Bahia2712693831742
7Cruzeiro2712693427742
8InternacionalInternacional2611963223942
9Atletico Mineiro269983638-236
10Vasco da GamaVasco26105113036-635
11BragantinoBragantino2889113438-433
12JuventudeJuventude2889113238-633
13Gremio2795132934-532
14CriciumaCriciuma2788113441-732
15Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR2587102729-231
16Vitoria2784152939-1028
17Corinthians27610112633-728
18Fluminense2676132129-827
19Cuiaba2658132338-1523
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2746172145-2418


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