Brasileiro | Gameweek 9

Jun 4, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estádio da Ressacada

Avai
1 - 1
Sao Paulo

Muriqui (67')
Chaves (49'), Cortez (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Reinaldo (45+4' pen.)
Alisson (84'), Pele (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Avai and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:

Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro

Next Game: Sao Paulo vs. America Mineiro
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Athletico Paranaense	10	-1	16
5	Sao Paulo	10	4	15
6	Coritiba	10	2	15

Both sides struggle defensively which means it is unlikely there will be a clean sheet in this match. However, the quality of Sao Paulo, particularly up front with Calleri, should give the visitors an edge and inflict a fourth consecutive defeat on Avai. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Avai had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Avai win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Avai	Draw	Sao Paulo
32.61% ( -0.45)	28.22% ( -0.43)	39.17% ( 0.89)

Both teams to score 46.75% (

1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.63% (

1.46)

59.37% (

-1.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.24% (

1.11)

79.76% (

-1.1)

Avai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.3% (

0.45)

33.7% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.65% (

0.49)

70.35% (

-0.48)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.51% (

1.25)

29.49% (

-1.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.49% (

1.5)

65.51% (

-1.49)

Score Analysis

Avai 32.6%

Sao Paulo 39.17%

Draw 28.23%

Avai	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.6%	1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.55) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.23%	0-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.57% Total : 39.17%