Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.