Brasileiro | Gameweek 33

Oct 22, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Diogao

Bragantino
4 - 2
Athletico PR

Ramires (5'), Popo (37'), Candido (45+4', 90')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Bueno (64'), Vitinho (67')
Vinicius (45+4'), Heleno (60'), Henrique (65')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bragantino and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bragantino

All competitions

Last Game: Bragantino 0-2 Santos
Tuesday, October 18 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Coritiba
Sunday, October 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 17.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
Bragantino	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
59.08% ( -0.12)	23.18% ( -0.01)	17.73% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 47.34% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.42% (

0.21)

51.58% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.63% (

0.18)

73.37% (

-0.18)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.85% (

0.03)

17.15% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.61% (

0.06)

47.39% (

-0.06)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.14% (

0.28)

42.86% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.83% (

0.24)

79.17% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Bragantino 59.08%

Athletico Paranaense 17.73%

Draw 23.18%

Bragantino	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.96% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 59.08%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.18%	0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 17.73%