Euro 2024

European Championship | Quarter-Finals

Jul 5, 2024 at 5pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Spain
vs.
Germany

Data Analysis

Coverage of the European Championship Quarter-Finals clash between Spain and Germany.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Spain 4-1 Georgia
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	3	5	9
2	Italy	3	0	4
3	Croatia	3	-3	2
4	Albania	3	-2	1

Germany

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Germany 2-0 Denmark
Saturday, June 29 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	3	6	7
2	Switzerland	3	2	5
3	Hungary	3	-3	3
4	Scotland	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spain win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Germany has a probability of 28.22% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Germany win is 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.14%).

Result
Spain	Draw	Germany
47.89%	23.9%	28.22%

Both teams to score 58.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.41%

43.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.02%

65.98%

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.65%

18.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.54%

49.47%

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.3%

28.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.48%

64.52%

Score Analysis

Spain 47.89%

Germany 28.22%

Draw 23.89%

Spain	Draw	Germany
2-1 @ 9.45% 1-0 @ 8.93% 2-0 @ 7.57% 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-0 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.5% Total : 47.89%	1-1 @ 11.14% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.89%	1-2 @ 6.96% 0-1 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.1% 1-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.22%