European Championship | Round of 16
Jul 1, 2024 at 5pm UK
Merkur Spiel-Arena
We say: France 1-0 Belgium
While both managers possess an enviable amount of attacking firepower, neither offence has clicked into gear at the Euros, giving rise to a dull affair where defences should come out on top for the most part.
However, Belgium were highly fortunate not to end up on the losing side and suffer elimination at the hands of Ukraine, and if there is to be a solitary strike in the 90 minutes, it should go to the men in blue.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a France win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Belgium has a probability of 32.09% and a draw has a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Belgium win is 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.52%).