Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 17.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Cuiaba
57.1% ( 0.24)	25.21% ( -0.02)	17.69% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 41.85% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.09% (

-0.18)

58.91% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.6% (

-0.14)

79.4% (

0.14)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.33% (

0.03)

20.67% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.74% (

0.04)

53.26% (

-0.03)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.75% (

-0.37)

47.25% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.33% (

-0.28)

82.67% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 57.09%

Cuiaba 17.69%

Draw 25.2%

Corinthians	Draw	Cuiaba
1-0 @ 15.39% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.12% Total : 57.09%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.48% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.22% Total : 17.69%