Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 16, 2022 at 12am UK
Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)
Corinthians3 - 0Fluminense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-1 Corinthians
Sunday, September 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Fluminense | 26 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 26 | 5 | 44 |
| 6 | Athletico Paranaense | 26 | 2 | 43 |
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, September 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, September 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Flamengo | 26 | 19 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 26 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 26 | 5 | 44 |
We said: Corinthians 1-1 Fluminense (Corinthians advance on penalties)
The deciding match of this tie will be a challenging game to call seeing as one team is sharp in the attack, while the other is stingy along the backline. We are giving the home side a slight edge because of their impressive form at Corinthians Arena, though in reality this match could go either way. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 45.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Fluminense |
45.03% ( 0.06) | 27.57% ( 0.01) | 27.4% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.32% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
