Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Santos had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.