Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
Sep 25, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Gremio1 - 2Criciuma
FT(HT: 0-1)
Arthur (14'), Ronald (79')
Araujo da Costa Junior (53'), Mateus (56'), Matheusinho (72'), Walisson (85'), Ronald (90+7')
Araujo da Costa Junior (53'), Mateus (56'), Matheusinho (72'), Walisson (85'), Ronald (90+7')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Criciuma.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gremio 3-2 Flamengo
Sunday, September 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Criciuma 0-0 Athletico PR
Monday, September 23 at 12am in Brasileiro
Monday, September 23 at 12am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Criciuma |
58.02% ( 2.76) | 23.3% ( -0.86) | 18.67% ( -1.91) |
| Both teams to score 48.62% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.26% ( 0.94) | 50.73% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.36% ( 0.82) | 72.63% ( -0.83) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.77% ( 1.36) | 17.22% ( -1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.48% ( 2.34) | 47.51% ( -2.34) |
| Criciuma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.74% ( -1.55) | 41.26% ( 1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.21% ( -1.4) | 77.78% ( 1.39) |
| Score Analysis |
Gremio 58.01%
Criciuma 18.67%
Draw 23.3%
| Gremio | Draw | Criciuma |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.54)2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.58)3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.29)4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.37)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.23)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.67% Total : 58.01% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.98% Total : 18.67% |
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 8pm
Form Guide
