Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Flamengo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gremio 2-0 Atletico Grau
Tuesday, April 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, April 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Flamengo |
28.53% ( -0.38) | 25.01% ( 0.09) | 46.46% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 54.73% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.72% ( -0.59) | 48.28% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.57% ( -0.54) | 70.43% ( 0.54) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.12% ( -0.58) | 30.88% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.83% ( -0.69) | 67.17% ( 0.69) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.18% ( -0.11) | 20.82% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.51% ( -0.18) | 53.49% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
Gremio 28.53%
Flamengo 46.46%
Draw 25%
| Gremio | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.97% Total : 28.53% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.46% |
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 10.30pm
Aug 17, 2023 1.30am
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Flamengo
1-0
Gremio
Jul 27, 2023 1.30am
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Gremio
0-2
Flamengo
Form Guide
