Gremio
1 - 2
Sao Paulo

Souza (33')
Doin (59'), Souza (90'), Alisson (90+2'), Pinares (90+8'), Ferreira (90+10')
Pinares (90+10')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tche (63'), Luciano (68')
Carneiro (59'), Alves (75'), Vinicius (81'), Tche (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Sao Paulo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Sao Paulo
41.88%	26.34%	31.78%

Both teams to score 52.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.58%

52.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.9%

74.1%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.24%

24.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.68%

59.32%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.3%

30.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.05%

66.95%

Score Analysis

Gremio 41.87%

Sao Paulo 31.78%

Draw 26.34%

Gremio	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.57% Total : 41.87%	1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.6% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.34%	0-1 @ 8.97% 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 5.3% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.07% Total : 31.78%