Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 51.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 23.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.