Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
May 3, 2022 at 12am UK
Estadio do Morumbi
Sao Paulo2 - 1Santos
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Santos.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Sao Paulo vs. America Mineiro
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | 10 | -1 | 16 |
| 5 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Coritiba | 10 | 2 | 15 |
Last Game: Santos 1-1 Internacional
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Atletico Mineiro vs. Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | America Mineiro | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Santos | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 10 | 1 | 13 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 63.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Santos had a probability of 13.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Santos |
| 63.12% | 23.06% | 13.82% |
| Both teams to score 39.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
