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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 8, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Sao Paulo

Ayacucho
2 - 3
Sao Paulo

Barrios (7'), Techera (20')
Morales (56'), Guidino (68'), Salazar (76'), Toledo (90+2'), Magallanes (90+5')
Salazar (88')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Arboleda (3'), Miranda (23'), Luciano (88' pen.)
Marquinhos (39'), Luciano (50')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Ayacucho and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Ayacucho
Wednesday, May 25 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Avai 1-1 Sao Paulo
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Coritiba vs. Sao Paulo
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayacucho win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayacucho win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (11.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
AyacuchoDrawSao Paulo
37.47%28.9%33.62%
Both teams to score 45.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.41%61.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.57%81.43%
Ayacucho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37%31.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.96%68.03%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84%34.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.15%70.84%
Score Analysis
    Ayacucho 37.47%
    Sao Paulo 33.62%
    Draw 28.89%
AyacuchoDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.43%
2-1 @ 7.69%
2-0 @ 7.16%
3-1 @ 2.95%
3-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 37.47%
1-1 @ 13.35%
0-0 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.89%
0-1 @ 11.6%
1-2 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 6.23%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 33.62%

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