Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Aug 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Manoel Barradas
Vitoria1 - 0Cuiaba
We said: Vitoria 1-0 Cuiaba
Vitoria should be full of confidence given that they just upset Brazilian giants Palmeiras a few days after narrowly losing to the league-leaders Flamengo (2-1). We believe they will carry that momentum into this contest against a Cuiaba side that have been inconsistent away from home this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria | Draw | Cuiaba |
34.2% ( -0.77) | 28.11% ( -0.31) | 37.69% ( 1.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.34% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.24% ( 1.05) | 58.76% ( -1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.72% ( 0.81) | 79.28% ( -0.81) |
| Vitoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.71% ( 0.03) | 32.29% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.21% ( 0.04) | 68.79% ( -0.04) |
| Cuiaba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.92% ( 1.18) | 30.08% ( -1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.79% ( 1.4) | 66.21% ( -1.4) |
| Score Analysis |
Vitoria 34.19%
Cuiaba 37.68%
Draw 28.11%
| Vitoria | Draw | Cuiaba |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.44) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.19% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.39)2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.11% | 0-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.68% |
How you voted: Vitoria vs Cuiaba
Vitoria
79.4%Draw
11.8%Cuiaba
8.8%34
Head to Head
