Off the back of another fine showing on home turf, Vitoria will head into Thursday's game with confidence as they look to end their winless run against Botafogo. However, given the gulf in quality and experience between the two teams, we predict that Jorge's side will extend their dominance over the hosts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 44.22%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 27.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Vitoria win it was 1-0 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Botafogo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Botafogo.
-0.11) 
0.1) 
