Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.09%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.17%) and 1-3 (6.77%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.