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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.63%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.54%) and 0-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
22.59% | 20.78% | 56.63% |
Both teams to score 63.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.82% | 34.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.93% | 56.07% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.07% | 27.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.45% | 63.55% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.93% | 12.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.4% | 37.61% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 5.8% 1-0 @ 4.3% 2-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.61% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.51% Total : 22.59% | 1-1 @ 9.09% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 3.37% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.78% | 1-2 @ 9.61% 0-2 @ 7.54% 0-1 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 6.77% 0-3 @ 5.31% 2-3 @ 4.32% 1-4 @ 3.58% 0-4 @ 2.81% 2-4 @ 2.28% 1-5 @ 1.51% 0-5 @ 1.19% 3-4 @ 0.97% 2-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.64% Total : 56.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4 |
14 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 3 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 1 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |