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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 75.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 9.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.36%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a FC Koln win it was 2-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
9.6% | 14.75% | 75.64% |
Both teams to score 53.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.96% | 32.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.38% | 53.62% |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.3% | 42.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.97% | 79.03% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.95% | 7.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.24% | 25.76% |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 2.89% 1-0 @ 2.56% 2-0 @ 1.09% 3-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.97% Total : 9.6% | 1-1 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 3.84% 0-0 @ 3.01% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.15% Total : 14.76% | 0-2 @ 10.59% 0-3 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-1 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 7.97% 0-4 @ 6.21% 1-4 @ 5.28% 2-3 @ 3.39% 0-5 @ 3.29% 1-5 @ 2.8% 2-4 @ 2.25% 0-6 @ 1.46% 1-6 @ 1.24% 2-5 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.61% Total : 75.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 29 | 29 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 20 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
6 | Freiburg | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
7 | Stuttgart | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 16 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 15 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 12 |
14 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Heidenheim | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 2 |
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