Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 75.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 9.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.36%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a FC Koln win it was 2-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.